2ND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON GLOBAL WARMING AND THE NEXT ICE AGE

The 2ND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON GLOBAL WARMING AND THE NEXT ICE AGE
AND AEROSOL WORKSHOP ON CLIMATE PREDICTION UNCERTAINTIES is being held this week. The talks and posters, which are listed below, promise a very important and informative meeting.

Institutional Hosts: Terry Wallace and Doug Beason
Technical Hosts: Petr Chylek, and Manvendra Dubey
Sponsored by LANL CSSE(ISR) and IGPP(EES) , Univ. of Washington, Seattle and the Amercian Meteorlogical Society

Monday July 16, 2006

Welcome: LANL Senior Management 8.30-9.20

J. Douglas Beason, Associate Director, Threat Reduction
Allan Bishop, Associate Director, Theory, Sim. & Comp.
Mary Neu, Associate Director, Chem. Life & Earth Sciences
Introduction: P. Chylek, Conference Chair 9.20-9.30

Climate Change

Chair: John Christy

C. Folland, et al., Decadal to Inter-Decadal Climate Variability 9.30 – 9.55
V. Ramaswamy, Global Climate Change in the 20th Century 9.55 -10.20
G. North, Sensitivity of Climate to Changes in CO2 10.55-11.20
C. Essex Virtual Butterfly Effect 11.20-11.45
S. Schwartz, Response Time of Global Mean Surface T 11.45-12.05

Remote Sensing: In Memory of Yoram Kaufman (Part 1)

Chair: Gerald North

Daphne Kaufman, Memory of Yoram 1:30-1.35
L. Remer, Using MODIS Aerosol Products 1.35-2.00
Y. Kaufman, V. Martins, L. Remer, Aerosol Effect 2.00-2.25
B. Cairns, Polarimetric Remote Sensing, NASA Glory 2.25-2.50
W. Feldman*, Remote Sensing of Mars 2.50-3.15
D. Tanre, Polarization and Anisotropy of Reflectance 3.15-3.40
C. Popp et al., AOD Retrieval over Central Europe 3.40-4.05

Remote Sensing: In Memory of Yoram Kaufman (Part 2)

Chair: Chris Folland

Koren, Pushing the Envelope of Aerosol Research 4.15-4.40
P. Alpert, et al., Global Dimming or Local Dimming? 4.40-5.05
T. Takemura, et al., Aerosol Effect on Climate System 5.05-5.25
B. Henderson, et el., Overview of MTI 5.25-5.45
R. Kahn, Using Passive Remote Sensing Aerosol Data 5.45-6.05

TUESDAY, JULY 18, 2006

Solar Variability and Cosmic Rays

Chair: Didier Tanre

P. Brekke, New Knowledge about the Sun 8.00-8.20
R. Willson, Solar Radiation 8.20-8.40
D. Rosenfeld, Cosmic Rays 8.40-9.00
E. Palle, Solar Acticity and Cosmic Rays 9.00-9.20
N. Scaffeta, Solar Variability and Global Warming 9.20-9.40

Climate Change: Observations

Chair: Ross McKitrick

J. Veizer, Climate, Water and Carbon Cycle 9.50-10.15
J. Christy, Surface and Tropospheric Temperature Changes 10.15-10.40
R. Pielke, Sr., Multi-decadal Surface Temperature Trends 10.40-11.05
P. Chylek et al., Greenland Climate Change 11.05-11.25
Q. Fu, Global Warming Seen from Satellites 11.25-11.45

Lunch

The Next Ice Age

Chair: V. Ramaswamy

G. Kukla, Interglacials Marked by Global Cooling 1.15-1.40
A. Berger, M.-F. Loutre, A Postponed Next Ice Age? 1.40-2.05
L. Franzen, Peatland/Ice Age Hypothesis 2.05-2.30
J. Sachs, Cooling of the NW Atlantic and Gulf Stream 2.30-2.50

Hurricanes and Global Warming

Chair: R. Pielke Sr.

W. Gray, Tropical Cyclone Activity and Global SST 3.00-3.25
J. Reisner, Why Di Hurricane Models Fail 3.25-3.45
X.-M. Shao et al., Hurricane Lightning 3.45-4.05
S. Fernandez, Predicting Hurricane Impacts 4.05-4.25
J. Marusek et al., Forecasting Extreme Weather Events 4.25-4.45

Poster/Oral Presentations I

Chair: C. Zender

T. Kubar, Tropical high clouds 5.00-5.03
C. Johanson, Antarctic radiosonde temperature records 5.03-5.06
B. Hammerschmidt et al., Columnar Water Vapor 5.06-5.09
C.Lai, Biochemistry of clathrate hydrates 5.09-5.12
D. McDonnell et al., Riparian Canopy Evapotranspiration 5.12-5.15
M. Reiter, Ground surface temperature changes in the Albq. Basin 5.15-5.18
E. Palle, Earth albedo changes 5.18-5.21
A. Dessler, Testing Climate models Using AIRS data 5.21-5.24
E. Richard, Earth magnetism 5.24-5.27
J. Marusek, Cosmic rays and hurricanes 5.27-5.30
B. Abubakar, New challenges leading to global warming 5.30-5.33
B. Abubakar, New challenges threatening the ozone layer 5.33-5.36
P. Kithil, Oceanic Forced Upwelling 5.36-5.39
Ginnebaugh: Air pollution impacts of ethanol 5.39-5.42

Dinner Speaker
G. Geernaert, Climate Change & Regional Security

WEDNESDAY, JULY 19, 2006

Aerosols and Climate

Chair: D. Rosenfeld

C. Tomasi et al., Aerosols in Polar Region 8.00-8.25
S. Kinne, Aerosol Direct radiative Forcing 8.25-8.50
M. Jacobson, Fossil-Fuel Soot and Global Warming 8.50-9.15
P. Buseck, et al., Soot Aggregates 9.15-9.40
C. Zender, Polar Climate and Absorbing Aerosols 9.40-10.05
A. Heymsfield et al., Droplet Freezing in Maritime Clouds 10.05-10.30

Climate Change and Climate Sensitivity

Chair: C. Essex

R. McNider, Climate Feedback in Stable Nocturnal BL 10.40-11.00
A. Hall, Snow Albedo Feedback 11.00-11.20
P. Spichtinger, et al., Impact of Cirrus Clouds 11.20-11.40
S. Gray et al., Multi-decadal and Multi-century Modes 11.40-12.00
J. Heikoop et al., Paleoclimate Record from the Valles Caldera 12.00-12.20

Climate and Energy

Chair: R. McNider

R. McKitrick, Temperature Trends and Economic Activity 1.45-2.10
H. Ziock, CO2 Emission: The Issue of Scale 2.10-2.30
G. Guthrie, Sequestering CO2 underground 2.30-2.50
M. Dubey et al., Global Hydrogen Economy 2.50-3.10

Oceans, Ice, and Rivers

Chair: A Hall

S. Elliot, Biochemistry in LA Ocean Models 3.20-3.40
W. Merryfield, Abrupt transitions in Arctic summer sea ice extent 3.40-4.00
H. Volz, Sea surface emissivity 4.00-4.20
E. Kennel, Fertilizer runoff an ocean warming 4.20-4.40
K. Eggert, Amazon Basin run-off simulations in global context 4.40-5.00

Poster/Oral Presentation

Chair Hans Moosmuller 5.15-5.45

Leahy: SSA of biomass burning aerosols
Chakrabarty: Refractive indices of biomass aerosols
Q. Fu*: Parameterizations of Small ice cirrus
Lewis: Scattering and absorption by wood smoke
Zhang: Regional impacts of rising Asian emissions
Henderson: Nauru island aerosols by remote sensing
Kok: Mineral dust aerosol enhancements by electric forces
Mahowald: Global trends in visibility: Dust
Robinson: MODIS radiances: noise and calibration
Patadia: Sattalite estimates of direct radiative forcing
Diehl: Global emissions inventory and trends of aerosols
Loeffler: Aerosol single scatter albedo in Mexico City

THURSDAY, JULY 20, 2006

Opening Remarks: M. Dubey, Workshop Chair 8.00-8.05

Aerosol and Cloud Interactions and Feedbacks

Chair: Steve Schwartz

W. Cotton: Simulation of aerosol-cloud interactions 8.05-8.30
S. Menon: Representing aerosol-cloud int. in global models 8.30-8.55
W. Conant: Unraveling aerosol-cloud interactions 8.55-9.20
D. Rosenfeld: A new paradigm: air pollution+covection 9.20-9.45

Chair: Qiang Fu

A. Nenes: Aerosol cloud int.: What do observations tell us 10.00-10.25
J. Reisner: Cloud resolving analysis of DYACOMS-data 10.25-10.50
Magi: Direct forcing by biomass burning in S. Africa 10.50-11.15
G. McFarquhar: Cloud feedbacks 11.15-11.40
:X Li: Aerosol Indirect Effect in deep precipitations 11.40-12.00

Aerosol-Clouds from Space

Chair: N. Mahowald

Harshvardhan: Aerosol Cloud Interactions from Space 1.15-1.40
S. Christopher: Satellite derived Aerosol direct forcing 1.40-2.05
S. Massie: Aerosol Indirect Effect over India 2.05-2.30
Tad Anderson: Spaceborne LIDAR 2.30-2.55

Dust and Natural Aerosols

Chair: Harshvardhan

N. Mahowald: Climate response to dust 3.05-3.30
I. Sokolik: Dust modeling 3.30-3.55
R. Miller: Constraints on Dust Cycle 3.55-4.15
G. Jennings: Marine aerosols 4.20-4.45
Obenholzner: Chemical & physical data on volcanic aerosols 4.45-5.05

Aerosol and Cloud Microphysics and Radiation

Chair: C. E. Kolb

S. Martin:Aerosol transformations and climate change 8.00-8.25
P. Arnott: Humidity effects on aerosol absorption 8.25-8.50
H. Moosmuller: SSA measurements of smoke 8.50-9.15
B. Henson*: Soot-water uptake model for CCN 9.15 -9.40

Chair: S. Martin

S. Lee: Sulfuric acid nucleation in lower troposphere 10.00-10.25
A. Caboussat: Thermodynamics of organic aerosols 10.25-10.50
H. Moosmuller: ShWave aerosol measurements for climate 10.50-11.15
A. Davis: 3-D radiation effects in clouds 11.15-11.40

Aerosols and Pollution in Megacities

Chair: M. Jacobson

C. E. Kolb: Megacity Respiration 1-1.25
R. G. Pinnick: Urban aerosols in Adelphi, Maryland 1.25-1.50
L. Paredes-Miranda: Absorption & Scattering in Mexico 1.50-2.05
S. Olsen: Radiative forcing by Mexico City emissions 2.05-2.30
T. Rahn: Hydrogen cycle in Mexico City 2.30-2.55

Closing Remarks: Lessons Learned and Path Forward
Steve Schwartz and M. Dubey 2.55-3.15

ADJOURN