Monthly Archives: January 2012

Candid Admission On The Limitations In Multi-Decadal Climate Model Predictions In A BBC News Article On The UK Climate Impact Plan

On January 26 2012, David Shukman of the BBC published the news article First report on UK climate impact The article contains climate predictions decades from now, which as discussed in our new article Pielke Sr., R.A., and R.L. Wilby, 2012: … Continue reading

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Filed under Climate Science Misconceptions, Climate Science Reporting, Vulnerability Paradigm

Comment On Gavin Schmidt’s Post On His Weblog Real Climate Regarding The Dominate Role Of Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Concentrations On The Global Average Temperature Trends

Gavin Schmidt has presented  information in his weblog post on Real Climate titled The AR4 attribution statement which is incomplete and misleading. His post starts with the text [highlight added] Back in 2007, the IPCC AR4 SPM stated that: “Most … Continue reading

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Filed under Climate Science Misconceptions

Seminar Announcement – On The Reliability Of Climate Models: How Well Do They Describe Observed Trends? By Geert Jan van Oldenborgh Of KMNI

By coincidence, after I posted New Paper “Skill In The Trend And Internal Variability In A Multi-Model Decadal Prediction Ensemble” By Oldenborgh El Al 2012 the seminar scheduled in Boulder, Colorado titled On the reliability of climate models: How well do … Continue reading

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Filed under Climate Science Presentations

New Paper “Improved Constraints On 21st-Century Warming Derived Using 160 Years Of Temperature Observations” By Gillet Et Al 2012

Dan Hughes alerted us to this new paper. It is Gillett, N. P., V. K. Arora, G. M. Flato, J. F. Scinocca, and K. von Salzen  (2012), Improved constraints on 21st-century warming derived using 160 years of temperature observations, Geophys. Res. Lett.,39, … Continue reading

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Filed under Climate Models

Response From George Taylor On The Oregon Debate On Climate Science

In response to the post Inadequate Poll Of Views On Climate Science By Scott Learn Of The Oregonian – But At Least An Opportunity To Debate The Climate Issue George Taylor and I exchanged the e-mails below. George was in … Continue reading

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Filed under Climate Science Reporting, Debate Questions

New Paper “Skill In The Trend And Internal Variability In A Multi-Model Decadal Prediction Ensemble” By Oldenborgh El Al 2012

In my posts, I have urged that the focus of climate modeling research change from focusing on providing multi-decadal climate predictions to the assessment of predictability; e.g. see The Difference Between Prediction and Predictability – Recommendations For Research Funding Related … Continue reading

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Filed under Assessment of climate predictability, Climate Change Forcings & Feedbacks, Research Papers

Comment On The Scientific American Interview By David Biello Titled “Michael Mann Defends Climate Computer Models”

I learned about this interview with Michael Mann Michael Mann Defends Climate Computer Models from Judy Curry’s post Week in review 1/13/12 The text is below with highlights added and my comments inserted at several places in the text.  As I … Continue reading

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Filed under Climate Models, Climate Science Misconceptions

Inadequate Poll Of Views On Climate Science By Scott Learn Of The Oregonian – But At Least An Opportunity To Debate The Climate Issue

UPDATE JANUARY 26 2012:  An update to the meeting is given at [h/t to Marc Morano] Presentation by global warming skeptics draws big crowd in Portland Don Bishop has alerted us to an article by Scott Learn of The Oregonian … Continue reading

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Filed under Climate Science Presentations, Debate Questions

Indian Ocean Heating – More Evidence Of The Dominate Role Of Regional Circulation Patterns

Suryachandra A. Rao, Ashish R. Dhakate, Subodh K. Saha, Somnath Mahapatra, Hemantkumar S. Chaudhari, Samir Pokhrel and Sobhan K. Sahu, 2012, Why is Indian Ocean warming consistently? Climatic Change Volume 110, Numbers 3-4, 709-719, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0121-x The abstract reads [highlight added] “Observations have shown that the Indian Ocean is … Continue reading

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Filed under Climate Change Forcings & Feedbacks, Research Papers

Debate On Issac Held’s Blog Titled “Temperature Trends: MSU Vs. An Atmospheric Model”

There is an interesting debate on Issac Held’s welog titled Temperature trends: MSU vs. an atmospheric model There is a healthy debate on this post (of which we need much more of!) that includes an insightful response which was just posted from John Christy of the University … Continue reading

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Filed under Climate Change Metrics