Monthly Archives: October 2005

Another Problem With Using Surface Air Temperatures To Assess Long-Term Temperature Trends. Should Light Wind And Windy Nights Have The Same Temperature Trends At Individual Levels Even If The Boundary Layer Averaged Heat Content Change Is The Same?

The answer to this question is NO. An October 9. 2005 article in the Seattle Times included the following, “American researchers examined the possibility that urban heat was masquerading as global warming in 1997, by comparing data from all over … Continue reading

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Filed under Climate Change Metrics

Has The 2005 National Research Council Report “Radiative Forcing Of Climate Change: Expanding The Concept And Addressing Uncertainties” Been Reported In The Media?

Apparently not. While, I have referred to this report numerous times in my weblog, a search on-line does not find a single reference in the media to this important national report. The major conclusion, listed below, represent a significant broadening … Continue reading

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Filed under Climate Science Reporting

Climate Modeling Questions

The website RealClimate had a very informative set of questions from Tom Cole and answers from Gavin Schmidt . RealClimate provides a valuable service by providing a set of issues in this Q&A format that we can answer. I provide … Continue reading

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Filed under Q & A on Climate Science

Can Regional Models Be Used To Obtain Skillful Higher Spatial Resolution Climate Forecasts Decades Into The Future?

The answer is certainly NO. An article on-line from the National Geographic entitled “No winter by 2105? New study offers grim forecasts for U.S.” is of considerable relevance to this question. This news report is based on the Proceedings of … Continue reading

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Filed under Climate Models

Is Climate Prediction Sensitive To Initial Conditions?

Since there has been so much interest in the topic of the “butterfly effectâ€?, a weblog on climate prediction with respect to its sensitivity to initial conditions is warranted. The answer to the question posed on today’s weblog, of course, … Continue reading

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Filed under Climate Science Misconceptions

Is Global Warming the Same as Climate Change?

Is Global Warming the same as Climate Change? Readers of the Climate Science weblog know that the answer to this question is a definitive NO. However, the media frequently use the two terms interchangeably. A search on google provides ready … Continue reading

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Filed under Climate Science Misconceptions

A New Paper on the Role of Vegetation Dynamics in the Climate System

As we discussed in our weblogs of October 14 and September 12, for example, vegetation dynamics exerts a major effect on the climate system. A new paper has just appeared in the Journal of Climate which provides further support to … Continue reading

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Filed under Climate Change Forcings & Feedbacks

Will 2005 Be The Hottest Year On Record?

The short answer is that, through September, it certainly is at least among the warmest when we evalute the 2005 tropospheric and ocean heat anomalies. However, it is not yet distinctly the warmest on record with respect to the tropospheric … Continue reading

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Filed under Climate Change Metrics

Is the Biogeochemical Effect of Increased CO2 on the Climate System a First-Order Climate Forcing? Is it at Least as Important as the Radiative Forcing of CO2 in Influencing Climate Change?

Biogeochemical forcing involves changes in vegetation biomass and soils (http://www.nap.edu/books/0309095069/html/96.html) which result in changes in the climate. The answer to the first question is a definitive YES on both the regional and global scales. The second question also appears to … Continue reading

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Filed under Climate Change Forcings & Feedbacks

More on the Butterfly Effect

In response to the variety of comments on the weblog of October 6, 2005 entitled “What is the Butterfly Effect”, I asked Associate Professor Richard Eykholt of the Department of Physics at Colorado State University to provide his perspective on … Continue reading

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Filed under Climate Science Misconceptions